Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.881655 1.033288 1.196786 1.385434 1.596331 1.824077 2.087833
2025-04-06 0.612841 0.817613 1.060013 1.364385 1.732424 2.159098 2.686925
2025-04-13 0.456081 0.687138 0.984933 1.387358 1.906738 2.543974 3.373415
2025-04-20 0.343786 0.582190 0.914878 1.395010 2.050490 2.893641 4.037326
2025-04-27 0.264718 0.501716 0.858013 1.403583 2.185756 3.232977 4.702801
2025-05-04 0.203276 0.431174 0.799537 1.395787 2.289539 3.529457 5.322239
2025-05-11 0.152956 0.364835 0.733397 1.363248 2.348181 3.760500 5.858719
2025-05-18 0.121419 0.323226 0.698513 1.371229 2.462050 4.070236 6.513673
2025-05-25 0.091680 0.275842 0.644005 1.337826 2.505395 4.275390 7.025101
2025-06-01 0.074013 0.248721 0.620851 1.352634 2.622640 4.592274 7.707453
2025-06-08 0.057860 0.219441 0.587594 1.344039 2.698367 4.846901 8.305451
2025-06-15 0.050572 0.210633 0.594301 1.408430 2.899108 5.302357 9.219253
2025-06-22 0.042829 0.198366 0.592682 1.459016 3.083557 5.747337 10.145392
2025-06-29 0.032298 0.172873 0.556597 1.438131 3.141567 5.994122 10.779511
2025-07-06 0.026061 0.158572 0.543884 1.462517 3.281658 6.380038 11.644314
2025-07-13 0.020391 0.143062 0.524756 1.470690 3.391558 6.719896 12.447628
2025-07-20 0.015904 0.129387 0.507256 1.479711 3.502533 7.065009 13.269697
2025-07-27 0.011923 0.114799 0.483634 1.471628 3.579027 7.353250 14.007973
2025-08-03 0.008356 0.098620 0.450920 1.437742 3.601313 7.547107 14.596619
2025-08-10 0.006337 0.089325 0.436866 1.446066 3.707424 7.890614 15.441199
2025-08-17 0.004264 0.076427 0.407093 1.411259 3.722002 8.070610 16.016774
2025-08-24 0.003215 0.069992 0.397735 1.426694 3.840990 8.441286 16.921853
2025-08-31 0.002230 0.061977 0.380044 1.417736 3.906991 8.717012 17.672271